Jorge Wilstermann vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
JWI
4 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DRT
1 - 2
JWI
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
JWI
2 - 1
AUR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
4 - 0
JWI
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
JWI
2 - 1
BLO
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
STR
1 - 2
SAC
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
OPE
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAC
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 0
IND
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
5 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |