Jorge Wilstermann vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
JWI
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JWI
2 - 3
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BLO
3 - 2
JWI
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JWI
3 - 1
SBW
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 4
PEÑ
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LFC
0 - 0
PEÑ
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
ETS
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |