Jorge Wilstermann vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 1
JWI
30%
21%
49%
|
70 | 21 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
SFE
1 - 0
JWI
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
JWI
3 - 2
SFE
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
JWI
1 - 1
PEÑ
51%
22%
28%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1960 |
PEÑ
7 - 1
JWI
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 0
PEÑ
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1965 |
IND
4 - 1
PEÑ
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
IND
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1965 |
IND
1 - 0
PEÑ
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |