Jorge Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
ROY
0 - 2
JWI
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
JWI
3 - 2
SBW
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 3
JWI
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
JWI
1 - 1
STR
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 2
JWI
14%
23%
64%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
OPE
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 3
ROY
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
SBW
1 - 2
OPE
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 2
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
STR
2 - 0
OPE
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |