Jorge Wilstermann vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
JWI
0 - 0
EME
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SCI
3 - 0
JWI
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
JWI
1 - 4
SCI
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
EME
1 - 0
JWI
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
JAG
2 - 0
JWI
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 1
TIG
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
JAG
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAC
3 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 0
SCI
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JAG
3 - 1
PUM
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |