Jorge Wilstermann vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
JWI
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
JWI
5 - 1
LAP
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 3
JWI
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
BSC
4 - 0
JWI
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 3
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 3
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |