Jorge Wilstermann vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 1
JWI
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
JWI
1 - 0
ROY
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SBW
1 - 2
JWI
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
JWI
1 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
STR
2 - 0
JWI
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 2
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
BLO
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ROY
2 - 0
GUA
56%
22%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |