Jorge Wilstermann vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
JWI
1 - 0
REA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
OPE
2 - 0
JWI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
STR
0 - 2
JWI
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
JWI
5 - 3
UNI
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
JWI
4 - 1
RPO
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
OPE
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
BLO
2 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
LAP
1 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |