Jorge Wilstermann vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
JWI
22%
25%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
JWI
5 - 2
SBW
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
JWI
3 - 2
ATP
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
JWI
0 - 1
OPE
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 0
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
CUC
0 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
BOC
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
ALI
59%
25%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |