Jorge Wilstermann vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
JWI
2 - 0
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 0
JWI
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
JWI
4 - 2
SLO
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2000 |
OPE
2 - 3
JWI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
OPE
4 - 0
JWI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
CON
0 - 1
CSD
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 1
CON
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CON
0 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CON
2 - 1
COB
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
UCH
0 - 1
CON
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |