Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 0
JWI
37%
23%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
IND
3 - 2
JWI
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
JWI
1 - 3
SAO
12%
22%
66%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
JWI
1 - 1
UDV
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
BLO
3 - 3
JWI
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 0
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CMV
0 - 1
AUR
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
OPE
26%
26%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |