Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BOL
4 - 0
JWI
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
JWI
2 - 1
BLO
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 2
JWI
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
JWI
3 - 1
RPO
70%
18%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ROY
3 - 2
JWI
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
STR
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |