Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 3
JWI
19%
25%
56%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
JWI
0 - 2
LIB
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 3
ROY
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 1
JWI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
REA
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 1
AUR
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAC
4 - 2
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
STR
10%
20%
71%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BLO
4 - 0
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |