Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
REA
2 - 2
JWI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JWI
0 - 2
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
JWI
2 - 2
NAC
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SBW
2 - 1
JWI
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
JWI
2 - 0
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 2
SBW
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
AUR
33%
25%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AUR
5 - 0
DES
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |