Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 2
JWI
17%
24%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
JWI
4 - 0
RPO
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +6 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 1
JWI
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
JWI
1 - 0
ROY
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
JWI
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 2
STR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BLO
2 - 1
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
NAC
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SBW
2 - 0
AUR
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |