Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
BOL
2 - 1
JWI
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
JWI
4 - 2
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
RPO
4 - 2
JWI
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 2
JWI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
JWI
1 - 1
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SBW
1 - 0
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
BLO
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 3
AUR
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |