Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LAP
2 - 2
JWI
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 2
JWI
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
OPE
3 - 1
JWI
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 2
JWI
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
JWI
2 - 0
RPO
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
BLO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 2
JWI
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
AUR
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |