Jorge Wilstermann vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
PET
0 - 0
JWI
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
RPO
1 - 1
JWI
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JWI
3 - 1
BLO
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
JWI
0 - 2
AUR
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
JWI
2 - 1
JAG
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 4
BOL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
RPO
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 1
PET
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
BLO
1 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 0
LAP
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |