Jorge Wilstermann vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
JWI
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
JWI
1 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
BLO
2 - 1
JWI
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
JWI
0 - 2
BOL
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 1
JWI
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 1
BLO
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BLO
1 - 0
BOL
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |