Jorge Wilstermann vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
JWI
0 - 1
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
OPE
3 - 1
JWI
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2010 |
BLO
3 - 0
JWI
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
JWI
2 - 0
BLO
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
JWI
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 2
SAN
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
BOL
5 - 1
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2010 |
BOL
4 - 1
RPO
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
RPO
5 - 3
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |