Jorge Wilstermann vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1986 |
JWI
2 - 0
UTC
49%
23%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1986 |
JWI
4 - 0
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1982 |
STR
1 - 1
JWI
69%
17%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1982 |
BOC
2 - 2
JWI
92%
6%
2%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
UTC
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
UCO
3 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1984 |
OHI
0 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |