Jorge Gibson Brown vs Textil Mandiyú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
80.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
18.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Textil Mandiyú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
COL
1 - 1
TEX
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TEX
2 - 0
CFE
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SOL
2 - 2
TEX
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
TEX
2 - 0
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GAF
1 - 1
TEX
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |