Jorge Gibson Brown vs Ex Alumnos 185 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Gibson Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 0
JGB
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JGB
3 - 2
FON
34%
23%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
JGB
84%
12%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
JGB
2 - 1
ADE
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
JGB
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALU
2 - 1
HUR
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FON
2 - 0
ALU
61%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALU
1 - 1
SMA
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 0
ALU
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALU
3 - 2
CAS
51%
22%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |