Jönköpings Södra vs Tvååker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
15º
6º
26
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 44 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 33 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 32 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 2
JON
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
JON
0 - 1
TIK
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
JON
1 - 3
ROS
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 3
JON
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
FAL
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tvååker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
TVA
3 - 0
NOR
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
TVA
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
TVA
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TVA
1 - 2
OLY
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 3
TVA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |