Jönköpings Södra vs Ariana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
15º
4º
29
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
JON
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JON
1 - 1
OBK
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 2
JON
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LBK
2 - 0
JON
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
ANG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESK
2 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
LJU
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TVA
0 - 2
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 4
AFC
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
OLY
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |