Jong PSV vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 2
PSV
32%
27%
40%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
PSV
3 - 0
FCD
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
JON
2 - 2
PSV
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 2
EIN
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 2
ALM
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
HEL
44%
24%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 5
BOS
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCE
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
MVV
2 - 1
GRA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |