Jong Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
JUT
7 - 2
JON
10%
17%
73%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
JON
5 - 1
GAE
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NEC
3 - 3
JON
27%
23%
51%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
JON
2 - 0
FCD
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
0 - 0
JON
19%
21%
60%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
NAC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCO
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GAE
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +3 |