Jong Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
HEL
2 - 3
JON
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
JON
3 - 1
ACH
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
JON
2 - 0
VOL
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
BOS
3 - 0
JON
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
RKC
3 - 5
JON
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
EIN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 2
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 4
KVK
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
NAC
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
GAE
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |