Jong Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
15º
8º
6
11º
19º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 69 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 69 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 64 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 63 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 63 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 60 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 57 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
19º
|
3 | 55 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 54 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 51 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 49 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 47 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 46 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 45 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 42 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 35 |
19º
|
41% | |
|
20º
|
2 | 20 |
20º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 2
JON
37%
23%
40%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
JON
3 - 1
VOL
41%
22%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
JON
5 - 1
TEL
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
JON
1 - 4
ALK
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VVV
2 - 0
JON
38%
24%
39%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MVV
0 - 1
BVO
37%
25%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 0
MVV
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
MVV
50%
21%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MVV
2 - 0
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 5
MVV
18%
20%
62%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |