Jong Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
JUT
4 - 3
JON
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
JON
4 - 0
NEC
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BVO
2 - 1
JON
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
VOL
3 - 1
JON
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
JON
2 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MVV
2 - 0
RJC
24%
26%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
VOL
3 - 2
MVV
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MVV
0 - 2
SPA
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
HEL
1 - 1
MVV
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
MVV
2 - 2
PSV
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |