Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
17º
15º
14
13º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 64 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 64 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 60 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 59 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 51 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 50 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 48 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 48 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 48 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 43 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 43 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 41 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 36 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 35 |
19º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
14 | 22 |
20º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 1
JON
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
JON
0 - 1
FCD
36%
24%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
JON
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
ALK
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BVO
0 - 1
JON
50%
23%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jong Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 1
TEL
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 1
JUT
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 4
BVO
10%
18%
71%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 3
BOS
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VVV
3 - 2
JUT
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |