Jong Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
JON
2 - 2
ALM
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
FCD
0 - 1
JON
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
JON
2 - 2
FCO
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GAE
2 - 0
JON
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
JON
4 - 1
TEL
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
PSV
27%
24%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
FCO
4 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAC
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 3
ACH
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
TEL
3 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |