Jong Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
JON
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
JON
2 - 3
VOL
15%
23%
63%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 2
JON
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JON
1 - 1
WIL
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 1
JON
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
MVV
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VVV
1 - 1
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 3
SPA
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
0 - 0
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |