Jomo Cosmos vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jomo Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 2
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
COS
2 - 2
PRE
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
RKF
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
TSS
0 - 1
COS
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
CPU
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
FRE
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FRE
2 - 2
POL
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 2
SUF
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ALL
0 - 2
FRE
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
FRE
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |