Jomo Cosmos vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jomo Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 0
COS
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
COS
1 - 1
CHI
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
COS
2 - 2
SAN
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
COS
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COS
2 - 1
PLS
33%
30%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SSU
1 - 1
FRE
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
FRE
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |