Jomo Cosmos vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jomo Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PIR
4 - 0
COS
65%
24%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
MPU
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 0
COS
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
COS
0 - 0
PLS
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
CAR
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 1
FRE
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
AJA
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BLO
2 - 2
FRE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
GOL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |