Jolly Montemurlo vs Valdinievole Montecatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
JMO
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
MPO
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
JMO
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
0 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 2
JMO
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valdinievole Montecatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VMO
1 - 0
VFC
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 1
VMO
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VMO
5 - 0
SSD
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ASG
3 - 2
VMO
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VMO
4 - 2
FOL
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |