Jolly Montemurlo vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
JMO
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 2
GHI
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 1
JMO
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JMO
3 - 1
SCA
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
JMO
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
USP
2 - 0
VFC
49%
26%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
0 - 0
USP
28%
27%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
USP
0 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 0
USP
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
USP
2 - 0
ACS
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |