Jolly Montemurlo vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MPO
0 - 1
JMO
51%
26%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 3
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 0
FCV
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
JMO
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 1
LAV
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 3
LAV
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAS
4 - 0
GRO
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 3
GAV
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FBC
3 - 0
GRO
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 1
SAV
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |