Jolly Montemurlo vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ASG
1 - 0
JMO
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
FOL
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
JMO
2 - 1
USP
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
JMO
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 2
GHI
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
SSD
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
FCV
19%
25%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 3
ACS
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 3
SSD
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +3 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
0 - 0
USP
28%
27%
44%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |