Jolly Montemurlo vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 0
JMO
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 2
JMO
47%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LAV
3 - 1
JMO
38%
28%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
MAS
56%
25%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MPO
3 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAS
1 - 0
MPO
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MPO
2 - 2
FCV
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FBC
2 - 2
MPO
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 1
LAV
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |