Jolly Montemurlo vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
JMO
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
0 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 2
JMO
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 1
JMO
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
2 - 0
SSD
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MPO
3 - 0
VFC
50%
27%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 0
MPO
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 1
SSD
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 1
MPO
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 0
FOL
30%
26%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |