Jolly Montemurlo vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SES
1 - 0
JMO
21%
27%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 2
LIG
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
JMO
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JMO
2 - 0
MPO
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 0
JMO
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GHI
1 - 2
MPO
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
4 - 1
GHI
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GHI
1 - 1
FCV
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FBC
0 - 0
GHI
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GHI
1 - 3
LAV
36%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |