Jolly Montemurlo vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 1
JMO
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
JMO
0 - 0
SAV
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
JMO
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
USR
0 - 0
JMO
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JMO
2 - 0
VMO
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GAV
3 - 2
MPO
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAS
0 - 2
GAV
34%
27%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 2
FCV
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GAV
4 - 3
FBC
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LAV
0 - 1
GAV
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |