Jolly Montemurlo vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 0
JMO
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
JMO
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
JMO
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
OST
1 - 0
JMO
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JMO
2 - 0
SCA
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
THE
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
STE
6 - 3
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 1
DAR
22%
26%
52%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 3
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |