Jolly Montemurlo vs Fidenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ABA
1 - 1
JMO
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JMO
0 - 0
FIO
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 0
JMO
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
JMO
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
JMO
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fidenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FID
0 - 0
THE
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 2
FID
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FID
1 - 1
RIB
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CLO
1 - 0
FID
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FID
9 - 0
RIC
75%
17%
7%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |