Jolly Montemurlo vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MEZ
2 - 1
JMO
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
JMO
1 - 1
FID
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ABA
1 - 1
JMO
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JMO
0 - 0
FIO
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 0
JMO
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIN
2 - 1
THE
10%
17%
73%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 1
VIN
87%
10%
4%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 3
RIB
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
VIN
86%
11%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIN
1 - 2
PIA
9%
17%
75%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | 0 |