Joker vs Ararat analysis

Joker Ararat
40 ELO 40
16% Tilt 13.6%
11181º General ELO ranking 14493º
78º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
57.2%
Joker
20.8%
Draw
22%
Ararat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Joker
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22%
Win probability
Ararat
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Joker
-8%
-59%
Ararat

ELO progression

Joker
Ararat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Joker
Joker
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2015
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
1 - 2
Joker
JOK
31%
23%
47%
41 32 9 0
12 May. 2015
FCP
FC Puuma
3 - 2
Joker
JOK
38%
23%
38%
42 36 6 -1
09 May. 2015
JOK
Joker
6 - 5
FC Puuma
FCP
54%
21%
25%
43 38 5 -1
29 Apr. 2015
JOK
Joker
2 - 1
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
65%
19%
16%
41 33 8 +2
26 Apr. 2015
FCA
Ararat
0 - 3
Joker
JOK
43%
23%
34%
39 37 2 +2

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2015
FCA
Ararat
2 - 1
Sillamäe Kalev II
SKA
25%
22%
53%
36 45 9 0
14 May. 2015
FCA
Ararat
0 - 4
Emmaste
EMM
40%
24%
36%
38 41 3 -2
07 May. 2015
EMM
Emmaste
0 - 3
Ararat
FCA
64%
19%
17%
37 43 6 +1
03 May. 2015
SKA
Sillamäe Kalev II
2 - 2
Ararat
FCA
66%
19%
15%
36 46 10 +1
26 Apr. 2015
FCA
Ararat
0 - 3
Joker
JOK
43%
23%
34%
37 39 2 -1
X