Joinville vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
BOT
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
TUP
3 - 1
JEC
36%
29%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
VOL
0 - 0
JEC
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 1
YPI
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 1
JEC
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 0
VOL
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 1
TOM
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
3 - 2
SAO
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TUP
1 - 0
TOM
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 1
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |