Joinville vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
JEC
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MET
2 - 2
JEC
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JEC
5 - 0
IMB
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAX
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
COR
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |